Last year was a trying year for President Joe Biden, who is about to run for re-election. President Biden, who had to deal with his poor approval rating and the division of his support base after the war between Israel and Hamas, is in a situation where he must run the presidential election this year on a base that is virtually the worst for an active president.
This is clearly reflected in the public opinion landscape, where she is losing in a one-on-one match against not only former President Donald Trump, who is a strong return match in recent opinion polls, but also former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, another Republican primary candidate. As a result of the average of 510 national opinion polls by political media outlet The Hill on the 2nd, it was calculated that in a hypothetical confrontation between President Biden and former President Trump, former President Trump would maintain a 2.2 percentage point lead with approval ratings of 44.9% and 42.7%, respectively. In the case of a hypothetical matchup between President Biden (38.8%) and former Ambassador Haley (42.5%), the gap further widens to 3.8 percentage points.
CNN reported, however, that there is a prevailing mood within the Biden camp that an opportunity for a reversal can be created in the first quarter, when the Republican presidential race officially begins. This is in the ‘expectation’ that the extreme right-wing remarks, including racial discrimination, that former President Trump has been making without hesitation at various campaign rallies will block the moderates. In fact, the Biden camp has focused on blatant attacks targeting former President Trump’s remarks, including his comment that “immigrants are polluting the blood of America” and comparing political opponents to pests, by calling them reminiscent of Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler.
As the race for the Republican presidential nomination heats up and former President Trump begins to open his mouth in earnest, far-right MAGA (Make America Great Again) slogans are bound to come out one after another, and it is at this point that voters It is predicted that this will be a turning point for people to calmly reflect on who they will support. In particular, the Biden camp’s analysis is that as the incumbent president, President Biden has had to continue the fight against himself, in a sense, without an opponent, and that the division of his internal support base due to the aging controversy and the Middle East issue is a direct result of such an unfavorable fight.
A Biden camp official said, “Trump will have no choice but to continue the extremist ‘Mark’ line in the first quarter to rally supporters, and this is our opportunity.” He added, “Trump’s efforts themselves may be successful, but we must do our job properly.” “If we do that, we can prove that Trump’s every word is extreme and unpopular,” he said. However, internal criticism is being raised that it is urgent to present immediately what the second Biden administration’s agenda is for taking office. CNN reported that many large-scale donors, including politicians, are pressuring him to come up with a new agenda as soon as possible, pointing out the lack of vision for the ‘second term in office’. In the State of the Union address scheduled for early next month, weight is being placed on the possibility that he will present key agendas for his second term in office, including the expansion of Obama Care, the national health insurance law, student loan forgiveness, and taxation of billionaires.
President Biden’s official presidential campaign is scheduled to begin only after the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate is confirmed, but a tight schedule has already been planned to promote his achievements by traveling to battleground states from the beginning of the year. The January 6 storming of the National Assembly, which marks its third anniversary this year, is also expected to be a good opportunity to remind us of the ‘irreparable wound’ left on American democracy by former President Trump and his followers.
However, according to a public opinion poll conducted by the Washington Post (WP) on this day, when asked whether former President Trump was responsible for the Capitol riot, only 53% of respondents responded yes, which is considerably diluted compared to 60% two years ago.
President Biden will visit Philadelphia on the 6th to attend the commemorative ceremony.